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Climate Change & Waterborne Diseases: Alberta Case Study (2007)

This case study is part of the larger project Links Between Climate, Water and Waterborne Illness, and Projected Impacts of Climate Change." The case study title is: A Study of Potential Climate Risk Factors of Enteric Waterborne Disease in Southern Alberta (1993-1997).

The purpose of this study is to analyze hospitalization data to determine the relationship between climate variables, extreme weather events and the incidence of enteric gastrointestinal disease.

The study focuses on CIHI data for Ontario from the years 1993 to 1997. The regions have been cross-referenced with climatic variables obtained from Environment Canada.

The investigation employes Poisson regression and the Bayesian Hierarchical Model methodology to explore the spatial and temporal incident rate dynamic. Simulations extend the investigation to determine impacts to the incidence of disease given several climate change scenarios.

For comparability between provinces, the scenarios considered will mimic that of the Alberta study. Maps will be provided for the study time line as well as for each of the scenarios considered.

TeamPrincipal Investigator:
Dan Gillis
Dept of Mathematics & Statistics
University of Guelph

FundingFunding support was received from the Health Policy Research Program, Health Canada.

The views expressed herein are solely those of the authors and do not necessarily represent the views or official policy of Health Canada.

Other funding includes:

Public Health Agency of Canada (PHAC)
University of Guelph
OGS
NSERC

CollaboratorsCommittee Members:

John Holt
Dept of Mathematics and Statistics
University of Guelph

Tony Desmond
Dept of Mathematics and Statistics
University of Guelph

Stephanie N. Dixon
Dept of Mathematics and Statistics
University of Guelph

Matthew J. Partridge
Dept of Mathematics and Statistics
University of Guelph

Dominique Charron
International Development Research Centre (IDRC)

Special thanks to:

Dan McKenney
Natural Resources Canada

Victoria Edge
Foodborne, Waterborne & Zoonotic Infections Division
Public Health Agency of Canada

Jeremy Kerr
University of Ottawa

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